Will the Bhartiya Janta Party win elections but lose seats in 2019 Lok Sabha Elections?
With the end of the five-year term of the Modi led BJP government next year, all eyes are set on the 2019 Lok Sabha Elections. There are many questions that are concerning the minds of each and everyone. The most pivotal of them all is whether or not BJP will get back in power and if it does will it be able to repeat what it had done in the 2014 elections? As of today, it is hard to deny that the chances of BJP winning the elections are more than satisfactory but there is a lot of doubt regarding the number of seats it will fetch in the elections.
The kind of atmosphere or lehar that Prime Minister Modi was able to create in 2014 was historic but this time around that lehar seems to have been settled down a bit. Certain doubts in the minds of the common people have evolved over the time and have up to a certain length managed to curb down the Modi lehar. The present political scenario in the country suggests that there are definitely strong chances that we will see BJP back in power but the number of seats it is going to win is going to be considerably lesser.
Recent polls show that if the elections were to be conducted today than the NDA will win 280 odd number of seats while BJP will get around 220 seats and will fail to attain a majority on its own. Polls have suggested a clear decrease in the number of seats for the NDA government while an increase in the number of seats for UPA.
The India Today’s Mood of the Nation (MOTN) poll that was conducted in July this year showed that NDA with 281 seats out of the 543 seats will come back to power. However, the BJP will only manage 245 seats and won’t be able to retain its majority. On the other hand, the number of UPA seats will increase as it will manage to get 22 seats and the Congress will increase its tally to 83 seats. The poll further suggests although the BJP will see a decline in the number of seats when compared to the 282 seats in won in 2014, its vote share will go up from 31.34 percent to 36 percent.
As of now, the condition is clear, all the polls show a fall in the number of seats BJP will manage and it won’t be able to fulfill its dream to cross the 300 marks. But to be fair it is a little too early to decide on the number of seats as the parties haven’t yet started a full-fledged campaign for the 2019 Lok Sabha Elections. It is very much possible that the Modi Lehar hasn’t died yet and has just quietened down, as the country goes into the elections it might rekindle again and get BJP the majority once again.