Lok sabha election 2019: how exit polls prepare know important facts and complete survey
At the same time, speculations have been started before that who will be? How many seats will the party be? Betabili is so much that the people from the public to the political parties want to know that after all, who will wear saffron on his forehead? The actual results can not be revealed before the counting of votes, but how to calm people’s curiosity, the path was taken out and that is the way of exit poll. On May 19, the exit polls will begin on the TV channels after 6 pm.
Understand the mathematics of the election survey
Before the exit polls, consider the poll survey. Because this process passes through exit poll. It is a matter of fact that during elections, the election process is a complete process to assess the predictions of victory and defeat of candidates, voters, different political parties, candidates who are called election surveys. These surveys are different and the basis is also different. This includes the Exit and Opinion Poll.
What are the exit polls?
Exit poles are always shown only after completion of polling. But if the election is more than one step then the final stage is done, then the results are shown after the voting is complete. But before that every stage of the data is collected on the day of voting.
For instance, the current Lok Sabha elections are being held in seven phases. In such a situation, after the voting of each stage for the exit poll, the data was gathered. When voters are coming out by voting on the day of voting, then they are asked who voted for it. The comprehensive results are taken out from the survey conducted on this basis. This is called exit poll. Usually TV channels show exit poles on the last day of voting.
Let’s assume that the voting of the 7th phase will end on 19th May and at 7 pm, you will see the election poll on TV which will be the exit poll. This will include survey done after every phase of voting. It shows that which party candidates are winning and which party candidates are losing.
Who first started the exit poll?
The credit for starting the exit polls goes to a senator and former politician Marcel von Dam. He used it first on February 15, 1967. His assessment was accurate in the elections held in the Netherlands. While the credit for its launch in India goes to Eric De Costa, head of the Indian Institute of Public Opinion. During this election he was the first person to test the mood of the people by this mode.