How 2019 Lok Sabha elections become from being a cakewalk to tough for the BJP?
Recently updated on September 2nd, 2018
In around a year’s time the largest democracy in the world, that is, India is all set for fresh elections. The major question that haunts the mind of many is that whether the 2019 general elections are going to be a cakewalk for the Modi led BJP government or not. Though the Bhartiya Janta Party still seems to be the favorites yet they aren’t as invulnerable as they were in 2014. It was the Modi wave that got them cross the 272 mark and successful fetched them 282 seats in the 2014 elections. A lot has changed from then to now, even though still Modi is a favorite yet it seems that finally, the wave has settled down. The 300 mark that BJP keeps talking about seems to be an uphill climb. It isn’t going to be as easy as they think. Though it still seems that the government will be successful in getting back in the power but getting a clear majority on its own has become a tough task. There has been a lot of factors that have contributed to this so-called downfall of the BJP government. The major factors that have contributed to making these elections comparatively tougher for the ruling party are:
Congress has been talking about a major coalition of all the major opposition parties for quite a while now. Rahul Gandhi recently while addressing the student community at the London School of Economics has clearly stated that the 2019 elections are going to be BJP versus the rest. If this does indeed happen then to a certain extent it is going to affect the votes and BJP might lose on certain seats which it would have otherwise won. The only positive for the government is that the opposition is still in disarray and is not yet united.
Many people who had voted for the Modi government with the hope that he will reform the economic state of the country are losing their trust. The government has been heavily criticised by many for demonetization and for introducing GST, the Goods and Service Tax. Above all the major issue that has created a lot of discontent towards the government is the lack of employment. Modi had clearly not been successful in keeping his promise of creating jobs for the youth and this will definitely bring down the vote count. The failure of the economic narrative is clearly visible through the government new slogan for 2019 elections: ‘Saaf Niyat, Sahi Vikas’, they are now trying to put more emphasis on social welfare and clean governance to gather the support of the masses.
The government habit of casually making big promises and then not fulfilling them is definitely going to cost them. From the construction of Ram Mandir to creating new jobs and removing Article 370, the government has fallen miserably to give shape to its hollow promises. Over the past four years, a lot of people has become sceptical of the government, the elections which seemed like a cakewalk for the government have become a lot more challenging and tough.